Prediction of Electricity Trade Partners Based on the Network Theory: The West Asia Community
| Published date | 01 November 2023 |
| DOI | http://doi.org/10.1177/00157325231166242 |
| Author | Leila Mirtajadini,Shamsollah Shirin Bakhsh,Mir Hossein Mousavi,Kioumars Heydari,Saman Yousefvand |
| Date | 01 November 2023 |
| Subject Matter | Articles |
Prediction of Electricity
Trade Partners Based
on the Network
Theory: The West Asia
Community*
Leila Mirtajadini1, Shamsollah Shirin Bakhsh1,
Mir Hossein Mousavi1, Kioumars Heydari2
and Saman Yousefvand3
Abstract
This study aims to predict electricity cross-border trade partners based on the
network theory and to investigate the position and importance of West Asia
community in the global electricity trade network. For this purpose, the global
network is constructed to examine the role of each node in the network for
the time period of 2010–2018. Different communities are identified to proceed
with the network analysis. The innovative analysis is link prediction to forecast
missing links from the network. The results suggest more interconnectedness
among community members, especially Iran, Turkey and Russia, which are the
prominent nodes in the community. The link prediction outcomes offer the most
probable missing links from the community and lead us to select the common
neighbour approach as the most efficient method.
JEL Codes: D85, Q27
Keywords
Electricity trade, trade network, community, link prediction
Article
Foreign Trade Review
58(4) 544–557, 2023
© 2023 Indian Institute of
Foreign Trade
Article reuse guidelines:
in.sagepub.com/journals-permissions-india
DOI: 10.1177/00157325231166242
journals.sagepub.com/home/ftr
* This article is deducted from a Ph.D. dissertation by Leila Mirtajadini in Al Zahra University, Tehran,
Iran.
1 Department of Economics, Social Sciences and Economics Faculty, Alzahra University, Tehran, Iran
2 Niroo Research Institute, Tehran, Iran
3 Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
Corresponding author:
Leila Mirtajadini, Department of Economics, Social Sciences and Economics Faculty, Alzahra
University, Tehran, Iran.
E-mail: leilamirtajadini@gmail.com
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