Housing prices and the macroeconomy: evidence from a panel of European Mediterranean countries: a note.

Indian Journal of Economics and BusinessVol. 5 Nbr. 1, June 2006

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Housing prices and the macroeconomy: evidence from a panel of European Mediterranean countries: a note.

NICHOLAS APERGIS

Department of Financial and Banking Management

University of Piraeus, Piraeus 18534, Greece

Abstract

This study analyses the dynamic effects of specific macroeconomic variables on the price of new houses sold in a panel of European Mediterranean countries, i.e. Spain, France, Italy, Portugal, and Greece. A panel data approach is employed, while an error correction vector autoregressive (ECVAR) model is used in modelling the impact of the macroeconomic variables on real housing prices. Variance decompositions show that the housing loan rate is the variable with the highest explanatory power over the variation of real housing prices, followed by employment.

JEL Classification System: G24; E20; E40; E50

Keywords: Housing prices; macroeconomic factors; panel data; Mediterranean countries

I. INTRODUCTION

Over the past few years the world real estate industry is undergoing drastic reforms due to the liberalization of financial markets, the drastic fall of interest rates, the ob...

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